Prediction of the Earth System: A Grand Challenge for the Decades Ahead
Dr. Antonio Busalacchi
Glenn L. Martin Institute Professor and Director of the Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC) at the University of Maryland
Development of an environmental prediction capability will require incorpo-ration of additional components of the Earth System beyond the physical climate system. The core elements and expertise needed in this regard include atmospheric general circulation models, ocean circulation models, land surface models, interactive vegetation models, marine ecosystem models, atmospheric chemistry models, global carbon cycle models, assimilation techniques for atmosphere-ocean-land, population dynamics, crop models, and infectious disease models, to name a few. The challenge now is to bring these core elements together within a common infrastructure and with a central focus on sub-seasonal to decadal prediction of the Earth System in the broadest sense. Further-more, the prospect of Earth System prediction has unique policy relevance at both the national and international levels.
Live Broadcast: coe.miami.edu/speaker/busalacchi
Dr. Antonio J. Busalacchi is the President of the University Corporation for Atmospheric Re-search (UCAR) in Boulder, Colorado. Prior to his appointment at UCAR, he was the Glenn L. Martin Institute Professor, Director of the Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), and Professor in the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sci-ence at the University of Maryland. He received his Ph.D. in oceanography from Florida State University in 1982 and began his professional career that year at the NASA/ Goddard Space Flight Center. He has studied tropical ocean circulation and its role in the coupled climate system. His research on climate variability and predictability has sup-ported a range of international and national research programs dealing with global change and climate, particularly as affected by the oceans. He previously served as a UCAR Board of Trustees member. Among his awards and honors, in 1991, Busalacchi was the recipient of the Arthur S. Flemming Award. In 1999, he was awarded the NASA/ Goddard Excellence in Outreach Award and the Presidential Rank Meritorious Executive Award. He is a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society (AMS), the American Geophysical Union (AGU), and the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). In 2006, he was the AMS Walter Orr Roberts Interdisciplinary Science Lecturer and in 2016, he was elected as a Member of the National Academy of Engineering.